Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1.742418 1.987047 2.255505 2.572267 2.936201 3.341705 3.828433
2025-09-21 1.379032 1.697102 2.074888 2.557848 3.160582 3.890221 4.843894
2025-09-28 1.095440 1.436132 1.868365 2.459428 3.250566 4.278424 5.724020
2025-10-05 0.967553 1.340917 1.842924 2.571658 3.609961 5.047361 7.207569
2025-10-12 0.872956 1.270610 1.833477 2.695213 3.993691 5.897072 8.934954
2025-10-19 0.779876 1.185481 1.786400 2.751137 4.279647 6.638764 10.615232
2025-10-26 0.702211 1.110108 1.739908 2.795666 4.546927 7.380893 12.404742
2025-11-02 0.613768 1.004728 1.631019 2.722319 4.608773 7.794844 13.707316
2025-11-09 0.528237 0.892247 1.495025 2.582753 4.534751 7.962429 14.595304
2025-11-16 0.476498 0.829472 1.432937 2.559364 4.655554 8.478634 16.185897
2025-11-23 0.428125 0.766360 1.362017 2.509447 4.718407 8.892918 17.639542
2025-11-30 0.409560 0.754042 1.379123 2.622273 5.099463 9.953646 20.534037
2025-12-07 0.383426 0.725768 1.365582 2.678893 5.387109 10.889277 23.365803
2025-12-14 0.351443 0.682690 1.319123 2.664868 5.531040 11.556508 25.742421
2025-12-21 0.313494 0.623590 1.234684 2.562628 5.476392 11.798658 27.211637
2025-12-28 0.302378 0.616997 1.254143 2.680108 5.911430 13.167479 31.542145
2026-01-04 0.292983 0.612768 1.277744 2.809316 6.390922 14.708498 36.573645
2026-01-11 0.277957 0.594826 1.270166 2.867818 6.715647 15.937946 41.050791
2026-01-18 0.263267 0.575909 1.258180 2.914382 7.018274 17.159426 45.736200
2026-01-25 0.240691 0.536959 1.197310 2.837778 7.007907 17.600396 48.387672
2026-02-01 0.215608 0.489645 1.112290 2.691994 6.802444 17.509750 49.528082
2026-02-08 0.201070 0.465305 1.078004 2.667569 6.907536 18.252764 53.225382
2026-02-15 0.186118 0.438440 1.034886 2.615432 6.932001 18.781780 56.387318